S&P 5007,497.76▼ −0.69%Nasdaq25,057.43▼ −0.77%Dow52,029.78▼ −0.69%COLCAP2,501.72▼ −2.90%USD/COP$3,302▲ +0.83%Ecopetrol$2,500▼ −2.91%Cibest$88,380▼ −4.45%BrentUS$90.66▼ −2.06%BitcoinUS$73,305▼ −2.61%S&P 5007,497.76▼ −0.69%Nasdaq25,057.43▼ −0.77%Dow52,029.78▼ −0.69%COLCAP2,501.72▼ −2.90%USD/COP$3,302▲ +0.83%Ecopetrol$2,500▼ −2.91%Cibest$88,380▼ −4.45%BrentUS$90.66▼ −2.06%BitcoinUS$73,305▼ −2.61%

Colombia Stock Market Outlook, Tuesday Nov. 10, 2026: Ecopetrol (EC) Earnings, Inflation and U.S. CPI

Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026. After a 3.67% surge in the COLCAP on Monday, Colombian assets face a busy Tuesday: Ecopetrol (NYSE: EC) reports third-quarter results, investors digest Colombia’s October inflation released Monday night, and the U.S. CPI lands at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here is what dollar-based investors in EC, CIB and the COLO ETF should watch.

Colombia market outlook · Tuesday, Nov. 10
COLCAP (Monday close)
2,576.36
EC ADR (Monday)
$15.61
CIB ADR (Monday)
$94.91
COLO ETF (Monday)
$48.03
Official USD/COP (TRM)
3,269.88
Colombia inflation consensus
6.38% y/y
Prices from TradingView; TRM from Colombia’s Financial Superintendency; inflation consensus from a Citi survey reported by La República.

Ecopetrol earnings: the numbers to watch

MetricEcopetrol’s own Q3 estimateQ2 2026 actual
Net incomeCOP 4–5 trillionCOP 6.06 trillion
RevenueCOP 33–36 trillionCOP 40.2 trillion
Production740,000–750,000 boe/d705,800 boe/d

Ecopetrol published these ranges in its October operating update. At about 3,270 pesos per dollar, COP 4–5 trillion is roughly $1.2–1.5 billion. Beyond the headline, watch the cost per barrel, any comment on the 2027 dividend and how management frames lower oil prices after Brent fell nearly 6% on Monday. The conference call is Wednesday, Nov. 11, at 9:00 a.m. ET.

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Colombia’s October inflation

Economists expected annual inflation to rise to 6.38% from 6.29% in September, a two-year high. With the central bank’s policy rate at 12.25% after a 4–3 vote to hold on Oct. 30, a hotter print would push back expectations of rate cuts, a support for the peso but a headwind for bank and utility stocks.

Scenarios for EC, CIB and COLO

ScenarioLikely moveMost exposed
Ecopetrol beats, U.S. CPI in lineCOLCAP extends rally toward its 2,627 record; EC catches up after lagging MondayEC, COLO
Results in range, no data surprisesSome profit-taking after Monday’s 3.7% jumpCIB, Grupo Sura, Grupo Argos
Ecopetrol misses or inflation runs hotStocks fall and the peso weakens, a double hit for dollar investorsEC, CIB, COLO

Illustrative scenarios from Bolsa al Día, not a forecast.

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The peso

The peso closed Monday at 3,269 per dollar, about 0.9% weaker on the day, but still roughly 14% stronger than in January. A hot U.S. CPI would likely lift the dollar globally; cheaper oil and fiscal worries add pressure. For the bigger picture, see our Colombian peso forecast for 2027 and the daily Colombian peso today.

Key times (ET)

Time (ET)Event
8:30 a.m.U.S. October CPI
9:30 a.m.Colombian Stock Exchange and NYSE open
During the dayEcopetrol Q3 results
4:00 p.m.Close
Wed. 9:00 a.m.Ecopetrol conference call
Mon., Nov. 16Colombian holiday: local market closed

Read Monday’s recap: Colombia stock market close, Nov. 9, 2026. Bolsa al Día reports; we don’t recommend.

FAQ

When does Ecopetrol report Q3 2026 earnings?

On Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026, with a conference call on Wednesday, Nov. 11, at 9:00 a.m. ET.

How much does Ecopetrol expect to earn in Q3 2026?

Ecopetrol estimated net income of COP 4 trillion to 5 trillion, roughly $1.2 billion to $1.5 billion, down from COP 6.06 trillion in Q2.

What is Colombia’s inflation expected to be for October 2026?

Economists expected about 6.38% year over year, up from 6.29% in September.

What time does the Colombian stock market open?

At 9:30 a.m. ET, the same time as the NYSE, from Nov. 1.

What is the official dollar to peso rate for Nov. 10, 2026?

The TRM is 3,269.88 pesos per dollar.

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